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Red98
338114.1
453124.5
558626.8
Blue99
1050529.7
17165.7
361828.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61592040801001209899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points49
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
18Processor points12
12Net points20
30Algae points32
78Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
98Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5586
#11
26.82.1
23.825.8
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
blue by 2.9
29.72.3
25.627.9
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Second
24.52.1
20.222.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
blue by 4.3
28.72.3
24.927.3
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End1.1
Third
3381
#10
14.12.1
11.113.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End0.5
red by 8.4
1716
#16
5.72.3
3.15.4
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed