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Red49
761915.7
99936.8
558626.8
Blue72
282633.1
99915.3
118835.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions478301001504972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+33
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +27
5Coral scored#11
19Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
29Total teleop56
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
49Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5586
#11
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
blue by 8.4
35.30.0
35.235.1
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
Second
7619
#14
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
blue by 17.4
33.10.0
33.032.9
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
Third
6.80.0
6.86.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
red by 1.5
9991
#17
5.30.0
5.15.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8