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Red141
353876.8
171453.8
999516.0
Blue107
283040.4
17165.7
453124.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17664050100150200250300141107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+38Teleop
+28Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +35
17Coral scored#12
61Coral points42
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
95Total teleop60
Reef
10L4#6
5L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +34
6Foul points0
141Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.3
75.775.4
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
red by 36.4
40.40.7
39.340.1
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
Second
53.80.3
52.752.4
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
red by 29.3
24.50.7
23.424.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
Third
9995
Unranked
16.00.5
14.213.8
Auto2.9
Teleop11.8
End2.1
red by 10.3
1716
#16
5.70.7
4.65.4
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1