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Red118
1050529.7
957823.5
361828.7
Blue35
558626.8
99936.8
761915.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9049010015020011835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+81Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
2Coral scored#0
8Coral points0
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +70
19Coral scored#5
67Coral points17
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
95Total teleop25
Reef
8L4#2
6L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
118Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.9
28.629.4
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
red by 2.9
5586
#11
26.80.3
26.626.3
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
Second
28.70.9
27.628.5
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End1.1
red by 13.0
7619
#14
15.70.3
15.515.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Third
9578
#12
23.50.9
22.323.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
red by 16.7
6.80.3
6.56.2
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3