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Red71
282633.1
99915.3
118835.3
Blue78
338114.1
710321.7
360212.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions804501001502007178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
55Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
71Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.0
34.434.4
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
red by 13.6
7103
#13
21.70.7
21.121.8
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.2
Second
33.10.0
32.232.2
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
red by 19.0
3381
#10
14.10.7
13.514.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Third
9991
#17
5.30.0
4.44.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 6.9
3602
#15
12.10.7
11.612.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0