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Red104
217120.0
173265.8
93042.0
Blue113
179241.3
999312.4
125953.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172131050100150200250104113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +6
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#1
6Processor points18
20Net points4
26Algae points22
76Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#7
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
6Foul points2
104Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#1Sur
65.83.6
75.371.8
Auto18.5
Teleop38.9
End8.4
red by 12.2
53.60.8
45.246.0
Auto10.5
Teleop33.7
End9.4
Second
930
#16
42.03.6
50.847.3
Auto9.3
Teleop27.9
End4.7
red by 0.7
1792
#19Sur
41.30.8
41.342.1
Auto10.7
Teleop27.2
End3.3
Third
2171
#24
20.03.6
25.221.6
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End1.3
red by 7.6
9993
#20
12.41.4
12.113.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsMissed