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Red47
999711.1
9341.1
999414.9
Blue66
220230.4
359618.9
70629.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671050501502004766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +12
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
37Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
47Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#8Sur
41.11.6
42.941.3
Auto8.4
Teleop28.3
End4.3
red by 10.7
2202
#11
30.42.0
35.833.8
Auto6.3
Teleop21.1
End3.0
Second
9994
#18
14.92.7
11.18.4
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.1
blue by 14.4
706
#10
29.22.0
32.030.0
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End4.6
Third
9997
#26
11.12.7
9.46.7
Auto1.2
Teleop10.4
End-0.3
blue by 7.7
3596
#25
18.92.0
18.716.8
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed