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Red101
206222.3
999913.3
171454.8
Blue101
638128.7
657438.0
642122.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70121050100150200101101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +3
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points46
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
69Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
101Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.8
Auto8.2
Teleop40.4
End6.1
red by 16.8
38.0
Auto6.3
Teleop24.1
End7.6
Second
22.3
Auto4.6
Teleop16.1
End1.6
blue by 6.4
6381
#12
28.7
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
Third
9999
#23
13.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End1.9
blue by 9.0
6421
#22
22.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned