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Red111
664319.7
874458.4
870129.1
Blue137
319756.9
167537.9
509620.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103124050150200250300111137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+24
Fouls+26
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
15Coral scored#21
53Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
81Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#8
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#6
26Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points2
111Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.6
49.249.9
Auto13.1
Teleop44.0
End1.3
red by 1.4
56.91.5
64.566.0
Auto12.3
Teleop40.0
End4.6
Second
8701
#21
29.10.6
31.632.2
Auto5.4
Teleop22.3
End1.3
blue by 8.8
37.91.5
33.535.0
Auto3.8
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Third
6643
#27
19.70.6
20.621.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End-0.3
blue by 1.1
5096
#13
20.91.5
15.016.5
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned