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Red77
359618.9
206222.3
999711.1
Blue128
509620.9
173265.8
874458.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2417105010015020025077128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+49
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave3
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +21
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points49
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
12Processor points18
8Net points20
20Algae points38
66Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#8
2L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
77Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.31.7
21.623.3
Auto4.6
Teleop16.1
End1.6
blue by 43.5
65.81.0
71.870.7
Auto18.5
Teleop38.9
End8.4
Second
3596
#25
18.91.7
16.818.5
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.3
blue by 39.5
58.41.0
49.948.8
Auto13.1
Teleop44.0
End1.3
Third
9997
#26
11.12.9
6.79.6
Auto1.2
Teleop10.4
End-0.3
blue by 9.7
5096
#13
20.91.0
16.515.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsMissed