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Red73
453128.4
167537.9
870129.1
Blue94
171454.8
657438.0
664319.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931370501502002507394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +24
10Coral scored#16
36Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
58Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
73Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.91.7
35.033.2
Auto3.8
Teleop26.5
End7.6
blue by 16.9
54.82.1
51.949.7
Auto8.2
Teleop40.4
End6.1
Second
8701
#21
29.11.7
32.230.5
Auto5.4
Teleop22.3
End1.3
blue by 8.9
38.02.1
44.442.3
Auto6.3
Teleop24.1
End7.6
Third
4531
#17
28.41.7
23.121.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End6.4
red by 8.6
6643
#27
19.72.1
21.319.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsMissed