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Red127
93042.0
657438.0
319756.9
Blue140
70629.2
642122.3
125953.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17397050150200250127140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+15
Endgame+25
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
22Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +11
15Coral scored#21
53Coral points74
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
87Total teleop98
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#9
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
12Foul points0
127Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.93.6
63.860.2
Auto12.3
Teleop40.0
End4.6
red by 3.3
53.61.6
46.848.5
Auto10.5
Teleop33.7
End9.4
Second
930
#16
42.03.6
45.341.7
Auto9.3
Teleop27.9
End4.7
red by 12.8
706
#10
29.21.6
28.029.7
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End4.6
Third
38.03.6
42.338.7
Auto6.3
Teleop24.1
End7.6
red by 15.7
6421
#22
22.31.6
25.527.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned