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Red66
167537.9
109118.7
999913.3
Blue96
999414.9
870129.1
171454.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371170501001502006696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+42
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +42
7Coral scored#17
26Coral points62
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
34Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#9
2L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
66Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.7
33.233.9
Auto3.8
Teleop26.5
End7.6
blue by 16.9
54.80.4
49.750.2
Auto8.2
Teleop40.4
End6.1
Second
1091
#15
18.70.7
15.516.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 10.4
8701
#21
29.10.4
30.530.9
Auto5.4
Teleop22.3
End1.3
Third
9999
#23
13.31.1
7.58.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End1.9
blue by 1.6
9994
#18
14.90.7
9.710.4
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed