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Red34
999312.4
999414.9
999913.3
Blue102
109118.7
874458.4
206222.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45105015020034102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+78
Endgame+78
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +64
2Coral scored#18
7Coral points63
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
11Total teleop75
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#9
0L2#4
0L1 · trough#4
3Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
12Foul points2
34Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9994
#18
14.91.4
10.69.2
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.1
blue by 43.5
58.40.5
51.952.4
Auto13.1
Teleop44.0
End1.3
Second
9999
#23
13.31.4
9.58.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End1.9
blue by 9.0
22.30.5
24.124.7
Auto4.6
Teleop16.1
End1.6
Third
9993
#20
12.41.4
14.613.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
blue by 6.3
1091
#15
18.70.5
16.316.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed