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Red94
125953.6
122024.6
870129.1
Blue112
657438.0
509620.9
9341.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10610040608012014094112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points41
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#3
6Processor points24
8Net points12
14Algae points36
62Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#2
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points6
94Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.6
49.749.1
Auto10.5
Teleop33.7
End9.4
red by 12.5
93
#8
41.10.8
40.040.8
Auto8.4
Teleop28.3
End4.3
Second
8701
#21
29.10.6
30.930.3
Auto5.4
Teleop22.3
End1.3
blue by 8.9
38.00.8
38.939.7
Auto6.3
Teleop24.1
End7.6
Third
1220
#14
24.60.6
22.321.7
Auto6.4
Teleop14.5
End3.6
red by 3.7
5096
#13
20.90.8
15.115.9
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned