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Red98
93042.0
999711.1
220230.4
Blue74
179241.3
217120.0
642122.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78920501502002509874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
9Coral scored#8
33Coral points28
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
12Processor points0
20Net points8
32Algae points8
65Total teleop36
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
6Foul points6
98Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#16
42.00.9
41.742.6
Auto9.3
Teleop27.9
End4.7
red by 0.7
1792
#19
41.30.7
39.939.2
Auto10.7
Teleop27.2
End3.3
Second
2202
#11
30.40.9
31.532.4
Auto6.3
Teleop21.1
End3.0
red by 8.2
6421
#22
22.30.7
22.621.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End3.7
Third
9997
#26
11.11.6
4.66.2
Auto1.2
Teleop10.4
End-0.3
blue by 8.9
2171
#24
20.00.7
16.715.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned