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Red123
70629.2
664319.7
167537.9
Blue146
171454.8
999312.4
874458.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82154050100200250123146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
17Coral scored#21
60Coral points75
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
94Total teleop109
Reef
6L4#10
5L3#9
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
123Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.92.0
33.935.9
Auto3.8
Teleop26.5
End7.6
blue by 20.5
58.41.5
50.451.9
Auto13.1
Teleop44.0
End1.3
Second
706
#10
29.22.0
29.731.7
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End4.6
blue by 25.6
54.81.5
50.251.6
Auto8.2
Teleop40.4
End6.1
Third
6643
#27
19.72.0
18.420.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End-0.3
red by 7.4
9993
#20
12.42.5
12.214.6
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned