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Red77
657438.0
109118.7
359618.9
Blue104
173265.8
999414.9
122024.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8113805010015020025077104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+35
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave9
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points24
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +18
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points39
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
0Processor points12
12Net points4
12Algae points16
37Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
77Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.2
38.738.9
Auto6.3
Teleop24.1
End7.6
blue by 27.8
65.80.1
70.070.1
Auto18.5
Teleop38.9
End8.4
Second
3596
#25
18.90.2
18.718.9
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.3
blue by 5.7
1220
#14
24.60.1
22.222.3
Auto6.4
Teleop14.5
End3.6
Third
1091
#15
18.70.2
16.116.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.9
red by 3.8
9994
#18
14.90.2
10.410.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned