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Red109
874458.4
642122.3
122024.6
Blue86
179241.3
870129.1
999312.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110805015020025030010986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+25Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave3
8Coral scored#2
40Coral points12
40Total auto15
Teleoperatedlevel
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points35
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
65Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
109Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.9
52.453.2
Auto13.1
Teleop44.0
End1.3
red by 17.0
1792
#19
41.30.2
39.239.4
Auto10.7
Teleop27.2
End3.3
Second
1220
#14
24.60.9
21.722.5
Auto6.4
Teleop14.5
End3.6
blue by 4.5
8701
#21
29.10.2
30.330.6
Auto5.4
Teleop22.3
End1.3
Third
6421
#22
22.30.9
21.822.7
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End3.7
red by 9.9
9993
#20
12.40.3
13.213.6
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed