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Red122
509620.9
171454.8
70629.2
Blue95
453128.4
93042.0
999414.9
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149740608014016012295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points43
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
83Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points6
122Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.81.6
53.755.3
Auto8.2
Teleop40.4
End6.1
red by 12.8
930
#16
42.00.8
42.643.4
Auto9.3
Teleop27.9
End4.7
Second
706
#10
29.21.6
28.830.4
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End4.6
red by 0.8
4531
#17
28.40.8
25.926.7
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End6.4
Third
5096
#13
20.91.6
15.917.5
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
red by 6.0
9994
#18
14.91.2
9.210.3
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned