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Red104
657438.0
206222.3
173265.8
Blue103
9341.1
638128.7
167537.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152112050100200250104103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave6
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points14
33Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +12
14Coral scored#15
49Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
65Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#4
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
104Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.81.8
67.365.4
Auto18.5
Teleop38.9
End8.4
red by 24.7
93
#8
41.10.3
40.840.5
Auto8.4
Teleop28.3
End4.3
Second
38.01.8
39.737.9
Auto6.3
Teleop24.1
End7.6
Level
37.90.3
38.037.7
Auto3.8
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Third
22.31.8
24.722.8
Auto4.6
Teleop16.1
End1.6
blue by 6.4
6381
#12
28.70.3
29.329.0
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsMissed