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Red61
999312.4
359618.9
642122.3
Blue99
125953.6
664319.7
999913.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8486601001206199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +16
8Coral scored#13
30Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
44Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
2Foul points0
61Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#22
22.31.0
22.721.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End3.7
blue by 31.3
53.60.1
52.952.8
Auto10.5
Teleop33.7
End9.4
Second
3596
#25
18.91.0
19.218.2
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.3
blue by 0.9
6643
#27
19.70.1
20.120.0
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End-0.3
Third
9993
#20
12.41.4
13.612.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
blue by 0.9
9999
#23
13.30.1
11.811.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned