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Red50
122024.6
509620.9
999711.1
Blue149
874458.4
319756.9
453128.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3216705010015020025050149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+89
Endgame+97
Fouls+99
AutonomousBlue +25
0Leave6
2Coral scored#6
12Coral points31
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +64
5Coral scored#20
18Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
32Total teleop96
Reef
2L4#11
2L3#6
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +99
0Foul points2
50Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1220
#14
24.60.1
22.522.4
Auto6.4
Teleop14.5
End3.6
blue by 33.8
58.40.8
53.254.0
Auto13.1
Teleop44.0
End1.3
Second
5096
#13
20.90.1
17.517.3
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
blue by 36.1
56.90.8
55.055.8
Auto12.3
Teleop40.0
End4.6
Third
9997
#26
11.10.2
12.111.9
Auto1.2
Teleop10.4
End-0.3
blue by 17.3
4531
#17
28.40.8
26.727.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned