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Red88
173265.8
220230.4
109118.7
Blue121
93042.0
171454.8
206222.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321329010011012014088121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +5
9Leave9
5Coral scored#4
25Coral points20
34Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +34
8Coral scored#16
30Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
40Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points2
88Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.82.0
65.463.4
Auto18.5
Teleop38.9
End8.4
red by 11.0
54.80.2
55.355.1
Auto8.2
Teleop40.4
End6.1
Second
2202
#11
30.42.0
34.632.5
Auto6.3
Teleop21.1
End3.0
blue by 11.6
930
#16
42.00.2
43.443.2
Auto9.3
Teleop27.9
End4.7
Third
1091
#15
18.72.0
18.516.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 3.6
22.30.2
22.822.6
Auto4.6
Teleop16.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned