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Red117
638128.7
999414.9
874458.4
Blue58
870129.1
999913.3
999711.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1142605010015011758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+47Teleop
+61Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points7
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +36
16Coral scored#8
56Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
76Total teleop40
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#2
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#11
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points2
117Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.41.6
54.055.6
Auto13.1
Teleop44.0
End1.3
red by 29.3
8701
#21
29.10.1
30.630.7
Auto5.4
Teleop22.3
End1.3
Second
6381
#12
28.71.6
29.030.5
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
red by 15.4
9999
#23
13.30.2
11.611.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End1.9
Third
9994
#18
14.92.3
10.312.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.1
red by 3.8
9997
#26
11.10.2
11.912.1
Auto1.2
Teleop10.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed