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Red152
167537.9
125953.6
657438.0
Blue99
509620.9
359618.9
217120.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16245010020025015299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+21Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
20Coral scored#14
73Coral points52
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
101Total teleop86
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#5
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#22
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
152Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.3
52.853.1
Auto10.5
Teleop33.7
End9.4
red by 32.7
5096
#13
20.91.4
17.318.7
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Second
38.00.3
38.438.7
Auto6.3
Teleop24.1
End7.6
red by 17.9
2171
#24
20.01.4
18.119.5
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End1.3
Third
37.90.3
38.238.5
Auto3.8
Teleop26.5
End7.6
red by 19.1
3596
#25
18.91.4
18.219.6
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed