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Red134
9341.1
171454.8
109118.7
Blue115
319756.9
220230.4
179241.3
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115140050200250300350134115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +35
16Coral scored#14
58Coral points49
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
102Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#7
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points12
134Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.81.6
55.156.8
Auto8.2
Teleop40.4
End6.1
blue by 2.1
56.91.5
55.854.3
Auto12.3
Teleop40.0
End4.6
Second
93
#8
41.11.6
37.939.6
Auto8.4
Teleop28.3
End4.3
blue by 0.2
1792
#19
41.31.5
36.935.4
Auto10.7
Teleop27.2
End3.3
Third
1091
#15
18.71.6
16.518.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 11.7
2202
#11
30.41.5
32.531.1
Auto6.3
Teleop21.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsMissed