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Red73
999312.4
122024.6
93042.0
Blue115
870129.1
638128.7
173265.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9213905015020073115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +9
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
58Total teleop67
Reef
3L4#5
5L3#7
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points2
73Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#16
42.00.3
43.242.9
Auto9.3
Teleop27.9
End4.7
blue by 23.8
65.80.8
63.462.6
Auto18.5
Teleop38.9
End8.4
Second
1220
#14
24.60.3
22.422.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.5
End3.6
blue by 4.5
8701
#21
29.10.8
30.729.9
Auto5.4
Teleop22.3
End1.3
Third
9993
#20
12.40.4
12.211.7
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
blue by 16.4
6381
#12
28.70.8
30.529.8
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned