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Red96
171454.8
125953.6
217120.0
Blue143
109118.7
874458.4
179241.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421095020096143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+55
Endgame+43
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +52
12Coral scored#21
44Coral points74
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
6Processor points12
12Net points28
18Algae points40
62Total teleop114
Reef
4L4#10
5L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
2Foul points6
96Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.82.4
56.854.4
Auto8.2
Teleop40.4
End6.1
blue by 3.6
58.41.9
55.657.5
Auto13.1
Teleop44.0
End1.3
Second
53.62.4
53.150.8
Auto10.5
Teleop33.7
End9.4
red by 12.3
1792
#19
41.31.9
35.437.2
Auto10.7
Teleop27.2
End3.3
Third
2171
#24
20.02.4
19.517.2
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End1.3
red by 1.3
1091
#15
18.71.9
18.120.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed