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Red139
319756.9
9341.1
999312.4
Blue130
657438.0
173265.8
999913.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711750100150200139130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+19Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +15
14Coral scored#20
50Coral points73
5Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
30Processor points0
20Net points12
50Algae points12
100Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
139Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.92.2
54.356.5
Auto12.3
Teleop40.0
End4.6
blue by 8.9
65.81.1
62.663.7
Auto18.5
Teleop38.9
End8.4
Second
93
#8
41.12.2
39.641.8
Auto8.4
Teleop28.3
End4.3
red by 3.1
38.01.1
38.739.8
Auto6.3
Teleop24.1
End7.6
Third
9993
#20
12.42.7
11.714.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
blue by 0.9
9999
#23
13.31.5
11.813.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned