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Red68
999711.1
664319.7
638128.7
Blue111
359618.9
93042.0
167537.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6512205010015020068111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +29
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
53Total teleop82
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
68Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6381
#12
28.70.3
29.829.4
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
blue by 13.3
930
#16
42.00.1
42.942.8
Auto9.3
Teleop27.9
End4.7
Second
6643
#27
19.70.3
20.119.7
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End-0.3
blue by 18.2
37.90.1
38.538.4
Auto3.8
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Third
9997
#26
11.10.4
12.111.7
Auto1.2
Teleop10.4
End-0.3
blue by 7.7
3596
#25
18.90.1
19.619.5
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned