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Red86
870129.1
206222.3
220230.4
Blue109
70629.2
122024.6
453128.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938105015020086109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+13
Endgame+27
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
12Coral scored#16
44Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
68Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
4Foul points0
86Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#11
30.40.1
31.130.9
Auto6.3
Teleop21.1
End3.0
red by 1.2
706
#10
29.22.1
28.430.5
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End4.6
Second
8701
#21
29.10.1
29.929.8
Auto5.4
Teleop22.3
End1.3
red by 0.7
4531
#17
28.42.1
27.629.7
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End6.4
Third
22.30.1
23.223.1
Auto4.6
Teleop16.1
End1.6
blue by 2.3
1220
#14
24.62.1
22.124.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned