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Red88
999414.9
509620.9
179241.3
Blue145
9341.1
173265.8
642122.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6214805010020025088145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+47
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave6
1Coral scored#8
7Coral points38
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +19
16Coral scored#21
58Coral points77
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
68Total teleop87
Reef
5L4#13
7L3#4
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
88Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1792
#19
41.31.2
37.238.5
Auto10.7
Teleop27.2
End3.3
blue by 24.5
65.81.2
63.764.9
Auto18.5
Teleop38.9
End8.4
Second
5096
#13
20.91.2
18.720.0
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
blue by 20.2
93
#8
41.11.2
41.843.0
Auto8.4
Teleop28.3
End4.3
Third
9994
#18
14.91.5
13.414.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.1
blue by 7.4
6421
#22
22.31.2
21.923.1
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned