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Red168
509620.9
173265.8
874458.4
Blue66
870129.1
359618.9
638128.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1667905010015020025016866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+98Teleop
+108Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +77
24Coral scored#8
87Coral points30
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
117Total teleop40
Reef
14L4#5
7L3#2
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +102
0Foul points6
168Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.80.5
64.965.4
Auto18.5
Teleop38.9
End8.4
red by 36.7
8701
#21
29.10.5
29.829.2
Auto5.4
Teleop22.3
End1.3
Second
58.40.5
57.557.9
Auto13.1
Teleop44.0
End1.3
red by 29.6
6381
#12
28.70.5
29.428.9
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
Third
5096
#13
20.90.5
20.020.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
red by 2.0
3596
#25
18.90.5
19.519.0
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.3