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Red100
9341.1
999312.4
657438.0
Blue78
999711.1
167537.9
220230.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1307905010015020025010078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+8Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +6
9Coral scored#13
32Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
64Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#19
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
100Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#8
41.10.1
43.043.0
Auto8.4
Teleop28.3
End4.3
red by 3.2
37.90.1
38.438.3
Auto3.8
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Second
38.00.1
39.839.9
Auto6.3
Teleop24.1
End7.6
red by 7.5
2202
#11
30.40.1
30.930.8
Auto6.3
Teleop21.1
End3.0
Third
9993
#20
12.40.1
14.514.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
red by 1.3
9997
#26
11.10.1
11.711.6
Auto1.2
Teleop10.4
End-0.3