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Red105
179241.3
171454.8
122024.6
Blue83
206222.3
319756.9
664319.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431245010020010583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+20Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points9
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
14Coral scored#13
52Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
74Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
105Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.81.8
53.852.0
Auto8.2
Teleop40.4
End6.1
blue by 2.1
56.92.2
66.764.5
Auto12.3
Teleop40.0
End4.6
Second
1792
#19
41.31.8
43.041.3
Auto10.7
Teleop27.2
End3.3
red by 19.0
22.32.2
24.121.9
Auto4.6
Teleop16.1
End1.6
Third
1220
#14
24.61.8
32.030.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.5
End3.6
red by 4.8
6643
#27
19.72.2
22.920.6
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed