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Red81
217120.0
870129.1
70629.2
Blue99
999711.1
999312.4
173265.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951430502002503008199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+16
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
16Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#16
45Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
63Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#9
6L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
81Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#10
29.20.6
32.632.0
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End4.6
blue by 36.6
65.80.2
75.175.3
Auto18.5
Teleop38.9
End8.4
Second
8701
#21
29.10.6
32.231.6
Auto5.4
Teleop22.3
End1.3
red by 16.7
9993
#20
12.40.3
11.812.1
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Third
2171
#24
20.00.6
25.825.2
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End1.3
red by 8.9
9997
#26
11.10.3
9.19.4
Auto1.2
Teleop10.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsMissed