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Red125
874458.4
220230.4
657438.0
Blue100
93042.0
109118.7
125953.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14512850100200125100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
+27Endgame
+25Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +19
17Coral scored#14
60Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
88Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points2
125Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.6
49.849.2
Auto13.1
Teleop44.0
End1.3
red by 4.8
53.61.5
46.745.2
Auto10.5
Teleop33.7
End9.4
Second
38.00.6
45.144.4
Auto6.3
Teleop24.1
End7.6
blue by 4.1
930
#16
42.01.5
52.350.8
Auto9.3
Teleop27.9
End4.7
Third
2202
#11
30.40.6
36.435.8
Auto6.3
Teleop21.1
End3.0
red by 11.7
1091
#15
18.71.5
18.417.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed