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Red64
359618.9
9341.1
999414.9
Blue88
122024.6
167537.9
206222.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9795204060801201401601806488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+10
Endgame+18
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +7
7Coral scored#10
25Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
39Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points6
64Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#8
41.10.8
43.742.9
Auto8.4
Teleop28.3
End4.3
red by 3.2
37.90.3
33.833.5
Auto3.8
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Second
3596
#25
18.90.8
19.518.7
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.3
blue by 5.7
1220
#14
24.60.3
30.230.0
Auto6.4
Teleop14.5
End3.6
Third
9994
#18
14.91.3
12.411.1
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.1
blue by 7.4
22.30.3
21.921.6
Auto4.6
Teleop16.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned