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Red144
171454.8
319756.9
999414.9
Blue35
70629.2
453128.4
109118.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1527705010020025014435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+87Teleop
+97Endgame
+109Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +80
16Coral scored#3
56Coral points12
4Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
24Processor points0
16Net points4
40Algae points4
96Total teleop16
Reef
6L4#2
7L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +109
12Foul points0
144Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.0
57.357.4
Auto12.3
Teleop40.0
End4.6
red by 27.7
706
#10
29.21.0
30.329.2
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End4.6
Second
54.80.0
55.255.2
Auto8.2
Teleop40.4
End6.1
red by 26.4
4531
#17
28.41.0
29.428.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End6.4
Third
9994
#18
14.90.0
15.115.1
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.1
blue by 3.8
1091
#15
18.71.0
19.718.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.9