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Red112
125953.6
217120.0
179241.3
Blue138
171454.8
319756.9
999414.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121143050100200250300350112138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
15Coral scored#20
53Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
73Total teleop99
Reef
9L4#10
6L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
112Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.1
53.753.6
Auto10.5
Teleop33.7
End9.4
blue by 3.3
56.90.2
57.457.6
Auto12.3
Teleop40.0
End4.6
Second
1792
#19
41.30.1
41.441.3
Auto10.7
Teleop27.2
End3.3
blue by 13.5
54.80.2
55.255.5
Auto8.2
Teleop40.4
End6.1
Third
2171
#24
20.00.1
20.120.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End1.3
red by 5.1
9994
#18
14.90.3
15.115.4
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.1