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Red162
509620.9
173265.8
874458.4
Blue68
9341.1
999312.4
657438.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1561155010020016268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+90Teleop
+100Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points14
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +69
24Coral scored#8
86Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
106Total teleop37
Reef
10L4#6
8L3#2
6L2#1
8L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points6
162Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.80.4
65.465.8
Auto18.5
Teleop38.9
End8.4
red by 24.7
93
#8
41.10.8
43.042.2
Auto8.4
Teleop28.3
End4.3
Second
58.40.4
57.958.3
Auto13.1
Teleop44.0
End1.3
red by 20.4
38.00.8
39.939.1
Auto6.3
Teleop24.1
End7.6
Third
5096
#13
20.90.4
20.420.8
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
red by 8.5
9993
#20
12.40.9
14.513.7
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5