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Red136
171454.8
319756.9
999414.9
Blue170
125953.6
217120.0
179241.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145113050100200250136170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+38
Endgame+36
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
17Coral scored#23
61Coral points84
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
85Total teleop116
Reef
9L4#11
8L3#9
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +34
2Foul points0
136Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.2
57.157.2
Auto12.3
Teleop40.0
End4.6
red by 3.3
53.61.4
51.352.7
Auto10.5
Teleop33.7
End9.4
Second
54.80.2
54.955.1
Auto8.2
Teleop40.4
End6.1
red by 13.5
1792
#19
41.31.4
39.140.4
Auto10.7
Teleop27.2
End3.3
Third
9994
#18
14.90.2
14.915.1
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.1
blue by 5.1
2171
#24
20.01.4
17.819.1
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End1.3