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Red73
207724.5
1028731.1
167535.1
Blue188
465569.3
130651.1
53740.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7415905010020025073188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+103
Endgame+115
Fouls+115
AutonomousBlue +34
3Leave9
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
9Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +69
11Coral scored#19
40Coral points67
1Processor algae#4
1Net algae#7
6Processor points24
4Net points28
10Algae points52
50Total teleop119
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#8
3L2#6
1L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +115
0Foul points0
73Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#35
35.10.2
27.827.5
Auto3.1
Teleop25.3
End6.7
blue by 34.3
4655
#15
69.33.3
55.258.5
Auto17.4
Teleop44.3
End7.7
Second
31.113.6
31.117.5
Auto5.4
Teleop23.5
End2.3
blue by 20.0
1306
#10
51.13.3
38.241.5
Auto10.7
Teleop36.1
End4.3
Third
2077
#46
24.50.2
27.227.0
Auto4.7
Teleop16.5
End3.3
blue by 16.0
537
#14
40.54.4
42.546.9
Auto5.6
Teleop30.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned