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Red69
853131.8
878214.4
884728.6
Blue133
250650.1
478724.6
204044.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8312905010015020025069133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+46
Endgame+54
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +36
10Coral scored#16
36Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
54Total teleop90
Reef
4L4#8
2L3#4
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points10
69Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8531
#31
31.82.3
28.926.6
Auto5.0
Teleop24.9
End2.0
blue by 18.3
50.10.0
35.935.9
Auto6.7
Teleop34.8
End8.7
Second
8847
#40
28.62.9
20.817.9
Auto1.9
Teleop20.0
End6.7
blue by 16.0
44.60.0
37.537.5
Auto9.5
Teleop28.8
End6.3
Third
8782
#41
14.42.9
18.515.6
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End2.9
blue by 10.2
4787
#30
24.60.0
25.625.7
Auto4.7
Teleop16.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned