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Red88
70626.5
373428.1
429626.8
Blue87
880231.9
93047.1
514822.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68960501508887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+1Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
16Coral scored#13
59Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
12Processor points6
4Net points16
16Algae points22
75Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#3
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points6
88Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3734
#19
28.11.8
21.423.2
Auto5.0
Teleop21.7
End1.4
blue by 18.9
930
#20
47.10.8
34.533.7
Auto11.5
Teleop30.9
End4.6
Second
4296
#32
26.81.2
23.224.4
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End2.2
blue by 5.2
8802
#28
31.91.3
25.724.3
Auto7.7
Teleop23.4
End0.8
Third
706
#18
26.51.4
19.521.0
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End4.2
red by 4.1
5148
#44
22.40.8
23.923.1
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed