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Red168
125949.4
341815.8
623741.3
Blue94
665133.0
809620.4
373428.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898020406010012014016016894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+54Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave9
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points4
31Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +36
22Coral scored#14
79Coral points49
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
113Total teleop77
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#4
5L2#2
7L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
168Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#12
49.45.2
31.836.9
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End6.9
red by 16.5
6651
#25
33.00.5
33.934.3
Auto6.3
Teleop25.7
End1.0
Second
6237
#17
41.35.2
29.234.4
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End6.2
red by 13.2
3734
#19
28.10.8
23.223.9
Auto5.0
Teleop21.7
End1.4
Third
3418
#37
15.86.3
15.521.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End1.1
blue by 4.5
8096
#39
20.40.5
15.916.4
Auto4.7
Teleop14.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed