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Red119
657454.9
1052219.5
220244.9
Blue68
509618.1
478724.6
942530.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1216805010015020011968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +40
15Coral scored#8
54Coral points30
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
84Total teleop44
Reef
9L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
8Foul points0
119Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6574
#21
54.90.1
43.843.9
Auto9.2
Teleop36.7
End8.9
red by 24.2
9425
#33
30.70.5
15.615.1
Auto6.8
Teleop20.4
End3.5
Second
44.90.1
37.938.0
Auto9.0
Teleop33.1
End2.8
red by 20.3
4787
#30
24.60.3
26.926.6
Auto4.7
Teleop16.0
End3.9
Third
19.50.2
16.716.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 1.4
5096
#34
18.10.5
19.118.5
Auto2.5
Teleop11.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed