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Red153
219443.6
478656.9
283036.5
Blue95
880231.9
359620.9
853131.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15610405020025015395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+52Teleop
+52Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +41
23Coral scored#15
82Coral points55
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
120Total teleop79
Reef
10L4#7
7L3#4
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
6Foul points0
153Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.1
47.647.7
Auto17.8
Teleop34.9
End4.3
red by 25.0
8802
#28
31.91.6
26.925.4
Auto7.7
Teleop23.4
End0.8
Second
2194
#22
43.60.1
37.637.7
Auto11.7
Teleop29.6
End2.3
red by 11.8
8531
#31
31.81.1
29.528.5
Auto5.0
Teleop24.9
End2.0
Third
2830
#24
36.50.1
32.632.7
Auto5.9
Teleop27.5
End3.2
red by 15.6
3596
#36
20.90.9
24.323.3
Auto3.8
Teleop15.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed