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Red105
976015.8
270433.8
93047.1
Blue119
250650.1
874446.3
282641.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9513450150200105119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +10
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
6Processor points12
8Net points24
14Algae points36
76Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#3
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
2Foul points0
105Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#20
47.10.6
37.337.9
Auto11.5
Teleop30.9
End4.6
blue by 3.0
2506
#8Sur
50.10.2
39.939.7
Auto6.7
Teleop34.8
End8.7
Second
2704
#29
33.80.6
28.529.2
Auto7.6
Teleop25.7
End0.5
blue by 12.6
8744
#11
46.30.2
42.442.2
Auto9.1
Teleop32.6
End4.6
Third
9760
#42Sur
15.81.1
19.420.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End0.9
blue by 25.4
41.20.2
30.730.5
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned